Re: The Coming Pandemic

Nicholas wrote:
> Tightwad wrote:
>> Itt seems the Bird Flue is growing expotentially and will arrive here
>> shortly by migrating wild species.
>> What are folks going to do to keep, presumably all wild birds, of any
>> kind, out of contact with feed, fowl, or the ground they normally
>> utilize?
>
> What coming pandemic? I don't believe there will be a pandemic. The
> flu has yet to cause mass casualties in humans. It probably won't!

The probabilities have increased dramatically in the past 3 years due to the
virus becoming endemic in many parts of SE Asia. There are hundreds of
thousands of birds who can carry this virus without any clinical symptoms
which are able to get in close proximity to chickens to which this virus is
highly pathogenic.
This virus is very mobile and is mutating like a silverfish. Lots of little
quivers and changes all the time.
The probability of one of these chains of mutation including the human flu
virus is now very very high.
The clinical activity of this particular virus is such that when it does
past experience of this virus type shows that it will move VERY VERY VERY
fast around the world affecting young and old alike. There are strong
indications that it will not be one that only affect the weak, old and
infirm. It is showing all the signs of being a flu variant that hits the
young and fit as well.
Medically it is very hard to do anything in the face of a fast acting virus.
Most things are treating secondary infections and bolstering ones immune
system for the fight.

One thing that is important to remember is that the "pandemic" refers to the
virus in its human form -- when that happens it has no relevance to chickens
whatsoever -- keeping, eating, or anything else. IT has moved on from them
altogether

--
regards
Jill Bowis AI news reports: http://poultryreports.blogspot.com/

Pure bred utility chickens and ducks
Housing; Equipment, Books, Videos, Gifts
Herbaceous; Herb and Alpine nursery
Working Holidays in Scotland
http://www.kintaline.co.uk

.

Relevant Pages

  • Re: Vets track spread of bird flu strain
    ... It is still unclear how the virus was transported from the egg farm to ... The birds in the free range unit will have a stronger immune system and the ... 400 chickens out of 35,000. ...
    (uk.business.agriculture)
  • Asia offers valuable bird flu lessons -experts
    ... Asia offers valuable bird flu lessons -experts ... H5N1 virus has showed up in Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand and Cambodia, ... The virus began killing wild migratory birds in central China in April ... Copyright 2005 Reuters Limited. ...
    (soc.culture.cambodia)
  • Re: China: H5N1 infected poultry -- symptomless
    ... on such a large scale infected chickens which do not show signs ... "This means out of every 100 birds in wet markets, ... and infected with the virus. ... They look healthy but they can infect ...
    (uk.business.agriculture)
  • Re: The Coming Pandemic
    ... > chickens but if it looks like i need to ill kill them. ... where you have AI infected birds right now ... If you are in the US the chances of this virus getting into your migratory ...
    (sci.agriculture.poultry)
  • Re: Mayonnaise (safety issues for whole egg home pasteuization)
    ... >> Does Exotic Newcastle's Disease occur in your country? ... This virus ... the USDA restricted the importation of birds in the early 1970's, ... potential sources for infection. ...
    (sci.agriculture.poultry)