Re: Meteoric and Cometary impacts in historical times - Hard Evidence

From: Joe Jefferson (jjstrshp_at_mindspring.com)
Date: 10/26/04 

Date: Tue, 26 Oct 2004 23:17:54 GMT

Eric Stevens wrote:
>
> At this point I decided to split the thread as I believe it is
> necessary to explain at this point what appears to be the emerging
> view on impacts. It is essential to understand this to make sense of
> the statistics. I'm going to make use of the 'seminal' book on the
> subject 'The Cosmic Serpent' by Victor Clube and Bill Napier. Although
> this was published in 1982 all that the major advances have since done
> is sharpen up the numbers. If anyone has a copy the essential chart is
> on page 142.
>
> <large snip solely due to length>
> Note that based on hard observational data "Extrapolation of the known
> fireball mass distribution indicates that Tunguska-like land impacts
> should occur as often as once in fifty years ... "
>
> So, I ask again, where are the records of these events in history?

First of all, you can't realistically use a book published in 1982 to
argue that the 1999 NASA data is obsolete, so I'm going to go back to
using their web site.

Second, you're asking the wrong question. Rather, you're asking a good
question, but too quickly. Before you can get any idea of when and where
to look in the historical records, you need to find out where and when
the impacts occured. IOW, where are the craters? Once you know that,
you'll have at least a chance of separating actual records of impact
events from other accounts that might appear similar. Without it, you're
never going to make any progress. There are just too many stories that
*might* have something to do with an impact, and no way of figuring out
which of them actually do.

Locating the impacts is also important for another reason: If the number
of impact sites turned up by a thorough search is pretty close to what
Clube and Napier predict, then that will be a support for their theory.
If it is significantly lower or higher, it will be a good indication
that the theory needs to be either revised or discarded. 

-- 
Joe of Castle Jefferson
http://www.mindspring.com/~jjstrshp
Site Updated November 25th, 2001
"Defend the cause of the weak and fatherless; maintain the rights of the
poor and oppressed. Rescue the weak and needy; deliver them from the
hand of the wicked." - Psalm 82:3-4
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