Re: "pentium 5" 55555 years ago?
- From: David Johnson <trolleyfan_spamfree@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Sun, 24 Apr 2005 14:10:09 GMT
benarit2002@xxxxxxxxx (eli ben-ari) wrote in
news:57d11f3a.0504240158.5a060b7d@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx:
> David Johnson <trolleyfan_spamfree@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
> news:<Xns964159FD57286trolleyfanearthlinkn@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>...
>> benarit2002@xxxxxxxxx (eli ben-ari) wrote in
>> news:57d11f3a.0504222225.7f93a5c9@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx:
>>
>> > Consider there was an almost total disaster leaving 10 groups of 10
>> > people in ten different locations on earth.
>> > All fuel left on these locations has been used.
>> > How long will it take until next "pentium 5"?
>> > When it comes, will they know that "pentium 4" was there before?
>>
>> Pretty much forever, given that groups of only ten people are
>> probably _not_ viable populations - heck, even if you brought all 100
>> together, extinction is more or less the way to bet - and another
>> intellegent species seems unlikely to evolve before the solar
>> constant gets too high and "runnaway greenhouses" the Earth.
>>
>> No, I'm afraid Moore's Law has pretty much been cancelled...
>>
>> David
> If the groups are big enough to exist how long do you think it will
> take them to reinvent computers?
Between a few hundred years and never, depending on initial conditions,
how the societies develop, and blind luck.
> Will "they" be able to believe that there might have existed people
> that already had computers?
Certainly. Landfills will be archaeological gold minds for any future
advanced society and they'll just be chock-o-block filled with computer
parts.
BTW, if you're trying to work-around to suggesting there was a "now-
level" advanced society in the past that disapeared...well, there weren't
any - so you might as well head over to another group.
David
--
_______________________________________________________________________
David Johnson home.earthlink.net/~trolleyfan
"You're a loony, you are!"
"They said that about Galileo, they said that about Einstein..."
"Yeah, and they said it about a good few loonies, too!"
.
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