Re: Activist cranks oppose the mission

Chris L Peterson wrote:
> On 19 Jan 2006 06:14:21 -0800, "AustinMN" <tacooper260@xxxxxxxxxxx>
> wrote:
>
> >The lie in all this is that it assumes an accident will scatter highly
> >fractured plutonium in all directions. Far more likely is that the
> >reactor would come down intact, in one piece, or possibly 18 pieces.
>
> Lie? The complete analysis assumes a worse case scenario, which is that
> the plutonium is converted to dust in the atmosphere. It also recognizes
> that the probability of that is extremely low, with your scenario being
> far more likely.

I figured NASA had looked at it that way; the article (taken in it's
own context) makes it look like there is a 1/350 chance of having to
spend 1.3 billion dollars per square mile.

One in 350 is far from extremely low.

Austin

.

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