Re: thoughts on the Drake Equation






Brian Tung wrote:

Guy Macon <http://www.GuyMacon.com/> wrote:

How do you figure? The most sucessful organisms are all quite stupid.

He means that intelligence is a strong predictor for success, not that
it's a strong prerequisite. (Think of it as a statistical version of
sufficient but not necessary.)

I understand what he meant. The problem is that intelligence is
not a strong predictor for success outside of certain specialized
ecological niches.

By any reasonable measure of "success" most intelligent animals do
rather poorly. Yes there are a lot of humans around, but the other
primates are very intelligent and are mostly endangered species.

Number of indiduals:
Humans: 6,000,000,000
SAR-11 bacteria 240,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000

Longevity as a species:
Humans: 250,000 years.
Cyanobacteria: 6,000,000,000 years.


--
Guy Macon
<http://www.GuyMacon.com/>

.



Relevant Pages

  • Re: thoughts on the Drake Equation
    ... Guy Macon wrote: ... not a strong predictor for success outside of certain specialized ... That's because of the humans. ...
    (sci.astro.amateur)
  • Re: Smoke one of your very best
    ... As evidence, I suggest that drive is a great predictor of success, and lack of drive a predictor of lack of success. ... While it may be true that> 90% of the wildly successful come from high-status families and are well educated -- that is, there is a high correlation between socio-economics, education & wild success -- it is NOT the case that 90% of the people who come from "the right" socio-economic backgrounds and are highly educated turn out to be wildly successful. ... You can try to blame whatever else you want, but it all boils down to: each individual decided to be a failure or a success. ...
    (alt.smokers.cigars)
  • Re: With Israel
    ... traits that female humans look for when choosing a mate. ... is more likely to experience reproductive success than a very ... Evolution isn't a TV Survivor show. ... Evolution works at the level of the individual. ...
    (rec.sport.tennis)
  • Re: Winslow? - Coyote in Quiznos . . .
    ... They're one of the few real success stories of ... This is one of the reasons leopards are one of the few success ... get as noticed by humans, ... The most successful animal species of recent times are that don't ...
    (rec.arts.comics.strips)
  • Re: With Israel
    ... traits that female humans look for when choosing a mate. ... is more likely to experience reproductive success than a very ... course aggression plays a big part in the determination of evolutionary ... if the physical traits are the comparable - ...
    (rec.sport.tennis)