Re: Death Sentence for the Hubble?
From: Charles Buckley (rijrunner_at_friiSTOPSPAM.com)
Date: 02/15/05
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Date: Mon, 14 Feb 2005 19:06:32 -0700
Jorge R. Frank wrote:
> Charles Buckley <rijrunner@friiSTOPSPAM.com> wrote in
> news:420fe7b3$0$13884$75868355@news.frii.net:
>
>
>>David M. Palmer wrote:
>>
>>>In article <379vl2F58tlqnU1@individual.net>, Max Beerbohm
>>><maxbeerbohm2003@yahoo.co.uk> wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>>Seriously, if you are going to say that there is no reason not to do a
>>>>Hubble visit, you need to address the safety issue - as some on this
>>>>group have done.
>>>>
>>>>The article above is poorly researched because of this.
>>>
>>>
>>>The expected risk cost is ~0.1 lives and 0.015 shuttles (assuming a
>>>1/70 chance of disaster with each shuttle mission not to ISS).
>>>
>>
>>Recalculate for 1/50 That is the current safety rating.
>
>
> According to whom? Cite your sources, please.
Demonstrated safety. They have not yet established that they can
calculate the the safety rate accurately.
>
> At *worst*, it's 1/56.5 (+ post-CAIB safety improvements).
>
> *Reasonably*, it's 1/88, (+ post-CAIB safety improvements).
>
> Again, *cite* your sources, if you have any.
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