Re: Death Sentence for the Hubble?

From: Fred J. McCall (fmccall_at_earthlink.net)
Date: 02/27/05 

Date: Sun, 27 Feb 2005 04:57:32 GMT

simberg.interglobal@org.trash (Rand Simberg) wrote:

:On Fri, 25 Feb 2005 10:08:36 GMT, in a place far, far away, Fred J.
:McCall <fmccall@earthlink.net> made the phosphor on my monitor glow in
:such a way as to indicate that:
:
:>:>The obvious conclusion is that it simply isn't all that easy.
:>:
:>:Not that Nowicki knows what he's talking about, but that's not at all
:>:an obvious conclusion, since there's much more to a business plan than
:>:the difficulty of developing hardware.
:>
:>Of course there is, but we're talking about developing systems that it
:>is claimed are easy to do and will have a huge market (which is a big
:>piece of the rest of the business plan).
:
:But up until now, the "huge market" part generated a great deal of
:skepticism. That's what's kept it from happening, not the
:technological side.

That doesn't seem to track, either. One need merely look at the
number of current launches. Being able to come up with a reliable and
inexpensive launcher would quite obviously allow you to capture a lot
of those existing launches, even if lower launch costs didn't enlarge
the market.

:>If what is being claimed is true, one would expect to see all sorts of
:>folks getting capital to go into the business. It ain't happening.
:
:Actually, it is happening, now.

So he's actually wrong TWICE. It's not as easy as he keeps claiming
(or it would have happened decades ago) AND it's gradually happening
without all that well-connected support his 'conspiracy theory' mind
postulates as the big barrier. 

-- 
"Some people get lost in thought because it's such unfamiliar
 territory."
                                      --G. Behn

Relevant Pages

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