Patterns of evolution in intellegince

From: melvin (sshrp_at_hotmail.com)
Date: 09/17/04 

Date: Fri, 17 Sep 2004 05:59:56 +0000 (UTC)

I have encountered a very interesting problem where a complete paper
was written
on methods of approach to this problem.

The problem is, in a game show, every round a contestant is shown 3
unopened doors, two have a goat and one has a car. The contestant then
chooses a door that remains unopened and the host always opens one of
the other two doors which always reveals goat. Should the contestant
switch? The answer is yes with a success of 2/3 if the contestant
always switches. Most people think the chances are 50/50 and it makes
no difference and the problem leads to many heated debates. Many
people never become convinced of the correctness of
the solution and for many it remains counterintuative

Some psychologists have studied in detail what leads people to the
right or wrong conclusion and it would be interesting if one could do
a study to tie in evolutionary pressures in intelligence to shed light
on why the approaches to this problem are so divergent or if certain
types of thinking though wrong still have an evolutionary benifit
which outweighs the negative effects of incorrect reasoning.

Relevant Pages

  • Re: Lets Make a Deal Tix
    ... The doors will open at 1 PM and you must arrive no later than 2 PM. ... Ticket distribution is in excess of studio capacity; ... If you want to be considered as a contestant you ...
    (alt.vacation.las-vegas)
  • Re: Patterns of evolution in intellegince
    ... > The problem is, in a game show, every round a contestant is shown 3 ... > unopened doors, two have a goat and one has a car. ... I initially assumed that the chance must remain ...
    (sci.bio.evolution)
  • Re: Patterns of evolution in intellegince
    ... > The problem is, in a game show, every round a contestant is shown 3 ... > unopened doors, two have a goat and one has a car. ... It could be my lack of imagination (and I am not sure about what exactly is going on in the game show) but I have a hard time to see how this kind of logic would have been required at any time in our evolution. ...
    (sci.bio.evolution)
  • Re: Math experiment
    ... You're a contestant on Let's Make a Deal playing the ... Behind one door is a car and behind the other two doors ... unchosen goat and the rules are that Monty has to show ...
    (alt.smokers.cigars)
  • Re: Advanced Monty Hall Problem with N door and M cars
    ... >>a losing door, before offering a switch. ... > No, it doesn't, GIVEN that the opened door has no car. ... > the three doors has been ruled out to be the winner, ... In a simulation, if the contestant switches on half of the trials, and ...
    (sci.stat.math)
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