Re: Challenge to the behaviourists #2
From: Neil W Rickert (rickert+nn_at_cs.niu.edu)
Date: 09/19/04
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Date: Sun, 19 Sep 2004 19:15:54 +0000 (UTC)
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"Allan C Cybulskie" <allan.c.cybulskie@yahoo.ca> writes:
>"Neil W Rickert" <rickert+nn@cs.niu.edu> wrote in message
>news:ci4bl1$ack$1@usenet.cso.niu.edu...
>> Why do people play chess? If we could predict human behavior, we
>> would know the outcome before the game begins.
>We can, to an extent, if we know the how each person plays and what
>strategies they tend to employ. The only novel thing is when we get
>creative to overcome the pre-determined games.
You need to distinguish between "predict behavior" and "predict
the probability distribution of likely behavior".
>> The world is a far more complex place than what is depicted in the
>> "Just So" stories that epistemologists tell.
>Please don't pull a "David" here.
You are the one doing that. I regularly disagree with the
behaviorists on their claims on predicting behavior.
> I stated quite clearly that you could not
>get absolute predictions, but that you could get pretty good ones.
You cannot even get "pretty good" predictions of behavior. The best
you can say is that you can get pretty good predictions of the
probability distributions of likely behavior.
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