Re: Bush busts Social Security with massive deficits
From: The Trucker (mikcob_at_verizon.net)
Date: 10/03/04
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Date: Sun, 03 Oct 2004 15:23:57 -0700
Igor wrote:
> William F Hummel wrote:
>
>
>> Here you completely ignore the effect on the macroeconomy that would
>> result from your proposal. Increasing payroll taxes is precisely the
>> wrong thing to do in terms of promoting vigorous growth in our
>> productive capacity. If there is a future problem in SS, it will be
>> in our productivity, not are financials.
>>
>
> It will have little effect on the Long term economy.
Assertion with nothing else.
> Yes there could be
> a short term hit but not a long term hit.
More assertion and nothing else.
> It will effect capital little
> in the long run.
More assertion and nothing else.
> Capital to labor ratio are steady in the long run. See
> Kondor's Stylized facts. This is what drives Solow '56.
Assertion and appeal to THE AU TORITIES and no presentation of
anything else.
> Returns to
> capital are dimishing and capital reaches a steady state in the long run
> in which taxes do not effect.
More assertion and nothing else.
> We can't get much more return from
> physical capital.
More assertion and nothing else.
> It is human capital and research and development that
> fuel long run growth. These may not be subject to dimishing returns. I
> will say may because the evidence is not clear yet.
Thank you very much for your pronouncements. I will now address this
crap with logic and reason as opposed to AUTHORITY!
There is little doubt that imagination, coupled with a good analytical
mind and a basic education in science and mathematics will give rise to
new ideas and new technology. I do not believe that I need to offer
any proof of this. You seem to agree with it and I doubt that anyone
would disagree. The next assertion is that the result of this
imagination and education and natural ability will be, among
other things such as art and stuff that tastes good, _real_ capital
manifestations of that which has been imagined. I offer the laser
as an example. Here again I offer no proof and believe none to be
necessary. And now we get to the part that is debatable: Is talent
(the ability to reason and analyze and imagine) inherited or is it
a product of environment or accidental evolution that is not inherited
(e.g. a freak sort of thing), or is it gained through environment?
I do not claim to know the answer but I do not see any evidence
whatsoever that would say that such traits are inherited. And it
would seem therefore that one cannot predict which child will be
the next Einstein or the next Newton, or whatever. And if we
wish to maximize our long run utility then we must invest in
the education of all children at least to the point where such
talent AND DESIRE becomes evident. And that means we must support
public education in the early years and probably K12 is about
right. And this is debatable but have a care: If you think education
for the nobility is the correct course you will get a very big
argument. When you short change wages by taxing wages you will
be short changing education of the young. It would make a lot
more sense to increase the progressive nature of the income tax,
most especially on unearned income from interest, rent, royalties,
and capital gains from land price escalation. Leaving other
capital gains and dividends at a lower level and leaving wage taxes
as they are. This seems intuitively obvious and yet you tell us
that Condor and Solow don't see it. Well, so much for these
dudes. They must be stone cold stupid. This later is MY
PRONOUNCEMENT.
-- "I know no safe depository of the ultimate powers of society but the people themselves; and if we think them not enlightened enough to exercise their control with a wholesome discretion, the remedy is not to take it from them, but to inform their discretion by education." - Thomas Jefferson. http://GreaterVoice.org
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