Re: Instead of focusing on revenues imbalance,



Brablo wrote:
why not focus on the *earnings/profit* imbalance?

Suppose that China has sold us $1B worth of low-margin goods such as
socks, plastic toys, and t-shirts.  On average, let's say that the
profit margins on these goods are 5%.

On the other hand, we sold them $0.7B worth of steam turbines,
management consulting services, software, and other high margin
goods/services.  On average, let's assume that the profit margins on
these goods/services are 25%.

The trade imbalance is $0.3B in China's favor.  NOTE:  This does *NOT*
(IMHO) represent how much more money they have after executing these
transactions, because the bulk of this money is going back to recover
costs.

But the earnings imbalance indicate that the USA has $0.175B VS.
China's $0.050B. This means that the USA has $0.125B more free cash
than China.


Am I missing something here?


Nope. That's the whole story.

--
Les Cargill
.



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