Re: OT Gas Prices and the Blame Game
- From: bill.sloman@xxxxxxxx
- Date: Wed, 21 May 2008 21:38:21 -0700 (PDT)
On 22 mei, 02:44, James Arthur <dagmargoodb...@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
On May 21, 3:58 pm, bill.slo...@xxxxxxxx wrote:
On 21 mei, 18:18, John Larkin wrote:
This isn't rocket science. This isn't science at all.
What you've posted isn't science, just one more daft conspiracy
theory.
One good way to improve your models' performance is to change the data
to better support your conclusion:
What seems to come out of
http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=2964
is that the historical data is patchy, and the data analysts don't
seem to be able to cope with data that isn't sampled at regular
intervals. I must say the my view is that you should fit your model to
the data you have, rather than trying to patch an imperfect historical
record, but this a lot more data, and much noisier data, than I've
ever had to work with.
It would be interesting to hear what the guys doing the patching think
about what they are doing, and why they are doing it - one can imagine
all sorts of explanations, but there's no way of finding out which
explanation is right without getting some input from the guys doing
the patching.
--
Bill Sloman, Nijmegen
.
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