Re: OT: interesting global warming quote found elsewhwere



In article <48A39FC1.DEC0EE47@xxxxxxxxxxx>, Eeyore wrote:

bill.sloman@xxxxxxxx wrote:

McIntyre found a serious defect in Mann's
data-filtering procedure, which meant Mann's hockey stick curve should
have had more and bigger noise spikes down the handle

And less of a hook at the end of it. Well I'm glad you accept that.

The Mann curve in the Wiki article on "Hockey Stick Controversy" shows
a curve linked from:

http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/wg1/pdf/WG1_TAR-FRONT.PDF

The curve shown in the Wiki article on "Hockey Stick Controversy" is a
northern hemisphere one, showing the northern hemisphere to have warmed
about 1.05 degrees C from the mid/mid-late 1800's to the 1998 spike.

Northern hemisphere HadCRUT-3 has rise of about .95 degree C for that
period. Looks like Mann was only a little off with determining the blade.

http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/

Of course, it would be fair to show the world as a whole. HadCRUT-3
has the world warming about .85 degree C over that period.

Now add to that the fact that tree growth adapts to periods of climate change
and hence tree ring data is nearly worthless over the very long term. He was
running round in circles chasing faeries..

Look at Loehle instead.

Loehle excludes a fair amount of the blade.

- Don Klipstein (don@xxxxxxxxx)
.



Relevant Pages

  • Re: Global Warming
    ... invalidate the "hockey stick" curve, which in actual fact has been ... Loehle got it RIGHT!. ... Splice onto Loehle's "corrected global temperature reconstruction" ... A hockey stick with a curvy handle and still a distinct blade. ...
    (sci.electronics.design)
  • Re: DABSWTFM - lost his touch?
    ... "if you'd graphed the sales themselves instead of the sales ... growth if would be an inverted hockey stick curve" ... standard curve, I can't think of the name, starts off shallow, picks ... graph, ...
    (alt.radio.digital)
  • Re: OT: Global Warming ? India rejects the lie.
    ... Eeyore claims that the hockey stick curve is a complete fraud because ... paper comes in a paper saying that the 29 year period centered on 1992, ... according to use of GISS past where Loehle's "Corrected Global Temperature ...
    (sci.electronics.design)
  • Re: OT: interesting global warming quote found elsewhwere
    ... You can create Mann's 'curve' by inputting *random data*. ... Hardly minor errors or oversights. ... You could create Mann's hockey stick - sort of - by putting random ...
    (sci.electronics.design)
  • Re: OT: interesting global warming quote found elsewhwere
    ... You can create Mann's 'curve' by inputting *random data*. ... Hardly minor errors or oversights. ... You could create Mann's hockey stick - sort of - by putting random ...
    (sci.electronics.design)