Re: solar assisted Toyota Prius- 8mpg more




Tom Simonds wrote:
> > Well, what if you could roll into a nearby "Electric Filling Station"
> > and recharge there quickly, if you needed it? We've all heard about
> > that fast-charging Li-ion battery that Toshiba announced some months
> > ago:
>
> If you ask me, these various battery schemes, including solar battery, have more
> and better prospects for competing with gas cars than the much ballyhooed fuel
> cell vehicle. Here's why: Fuel cells are at least ten years away from widespread
> use. Likely more. Batteries are undergoing the most rapid development of any
> technology in history, driven by the need for a power source for today's portable
> electronic devices like laptops. Tons of money is going into their development.
>
They're improving but not fast enough. I don't think the capacity of
batteries is doubling every two years like that of microprocessors.
Batteries are having trouble keeping up with the devices they need to
supply.

> Ten years from now, when and if fuel cells are ready for mass production,
> batteries will be even better that today, perhaps by an order of magnitude. Fuel
> cells need hydrogen, or some other fuel. Batteries will be able to use
> electricity, which can be produced from clean renewable sources like wind, solar,
> nuclear, etc. But the fuel cell can never use electricity from the grid. Splitting
> water is inefficient and hence costly.
>
> Were I a vulture capitalist, I would ignore all the fuel cell hype and invest in
> battery cars and their related technologies.

I would agree here. Not becuae batteries are improving as fast as you
say, but because their almost there. Indeed, Lithium ion batteries are
already good enough to plug-in hybrids with a range of 100km - just not
yet at the right price. But reducing price 3 fold requires no
breakthrough. Increasing capacity three fold would require such a
breakthrough.

.



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