Re: Earth's Carrying Capacity

From: Ian St. John (istjohn_at_noemail.ca)
Date: 08/22/04 

Date: Sun, 22 Aug 2004 14:39:18 -0400

Gactimus wrote:
> Psalm 110 <LyingFrauds@Go_to_Hell.org> wrote in
> news:l8edi0dlj9ffps806u8q4msvlg2n663ibr@4ax.com:
<snip>
>> Your opinion is immaterial. We are waiting for the "big one" the
>> force five hurrican that hits dead on to megatropolis and kills a
>> million people in one swope, and causes $500,000,000,000 in one
>> event.
>
> No hurricane will kill a million people nowadays thanks to advance
> warning technology.
>
> As for $500 Billion, I find that highly unlikely. Insurance estimates
> for a direct hit on Miami by Hurricane Andrew were only around $80
> billion.

It could happen or nearly. Read up on the St. Louis area. A force 5
hurricane with 25 meter storm surge would destroy the entire St. Louis and
region ( 25 to 33 meters flood height as St. Louis is already up to 8 meters
below sea level ) and there is no way to evacuate the entire region so the
death toll would probably be in the hundreds of thousands. Figure out how
many were in the area when Charlie hit and how many could have evacuated by
road if Charlie had taken a detour to the west and hit St. Louis instead of
veering east into Florida. They couldn't predict landfall a few hours ahead
of the storm even in Florida and the area that was hit was almost unprepared
BECAUSE of the predictions that it would hit further north. They cannot
evacuate EVERYWHERE that it MIGHT hit. Nobody can predict where a hurricane
will go with accuracy.

The U.S. has been 'lucky' so far.

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