Re: Mt St Helens Activity

From: Bob Harrington (rch.NOS-PAM_at_blarg.net)
Date: 09/26/04 

Date: Sun, 26 Sep 2004 10:22:28 GMT

Michael Mcneil wrote:
> "Tadapope" <tadapope@aol.com> wrote in message
> news:20040925190352.15758.00001040@mb-m13.aol.com
>
>> It's getting ready to blow again!

All the folks what know here say that it's just a bit of very shallow
rock cracking and minor steam explosions from recent weeks of excess
rain in the region percolating down into the dome and surrounds.

> (I thought August was the Harvest Moon.) Here is an interesting run of
> lunar spells. (If you are new to thaumaturgy, the time of the spell is
> everything.)

Pretty sure September is the Harvest Moon.

> While it erupted on the 18th May 1980 there was plenty of warning
> about it for months in advance. I believe the tremours started some 2
> or three months prior. March wasn't it?

First earthquake was on March 20; first steam explosion that brought old
ash to the surface was on March 27.

> These are the times of the phases for that year:
>
> 2 Jan 09:02 Thundery

Thunder is pretty rare in western Washington in January.

> 10 Jan 11:50 Windy and overcast
>
> 17 Jan 21:19 Humid and breezy
>
> 24 Jan 13:58 Fine
>
> 1 Feb 02:21 Unsettled with a spell half way between ho hum to
> thundery. (Earthquakey weather if ever I saw one.)

'cept we still don't get much thunder...

> 9 Feb 07:35 Unsettled with a spell half way between wet to fine.
> Usually bloody awful or there is trouble brewing.
>
> 16 Feb 08:51 Breezy & humid. Another bad one for the earth sciences.
>
> (All after the fact of course but interesting in that this sort of
> weather spell is not dissimilar to recent events.)
>
> 23 Feb 00:14 Windy and overcast
>
> 1 Mar 21:00 Here we go then. Thundery.

Okay. Now we're getting to the time of year when we get a few
one-bang-wonders in the unstable air behind a Pacific cold front.

> 9 Mar 23:49 Similar to 23rd Feb, nothing to write home about.
>
> 16 Mar 18:56 Wet.
>
> 23 Mar 12:31 Unsettled with a spell half way between dull and
> overcast, with a tendency to mist or light drizzle and wet.
>
> I think the type of thing this produces is of the Levant variety.
> Those readers with records of their own* may dismiss this as a load
> of tosh but
> when things don't occur as the code predicts then the system starts to
> overload and we all know what that means, don't we children?
>
> 31 Mar 15:14 Humid and breezy. (These humid and breezy ones count as
> thundery weather world wide by the way. And unsetled spells to boot.)
>
> 8 Apr 12:06 Cassic: dull and overcast, with a tendency to mist or
> light drizzle
>
> 15 Apr 03 46 Unsettled with wind and rain in profusion.
>
> 22 Apr 02 59 Thundery.
>
> 30 Apr 07:35 9 Feb 07:35 Unsettled with a spell half way between wet
> to fine. Usually bloody awful or there is trouble brewing.
>
> 7 May 20:51 1 Mar 21:00 Here we go then. Thundery.
>
> 14 May 12:00 8 Apr 12:06 Cassic: dull and overcast, with a tendency to
> mist or light drizzle
>
> 21 May 19:16 Interesting repetition. So now you know what to look for.
>
> *I gather the weather inthat part of the world is not too dissimilar
> to the type I enjoy over here. What is important is the digression
> between this folklore (new though it appears) and weather model runs.

You can poke around at the University of Washington Atmospheric Sciences
web site for Pacific Northwest weather, as well as temp, pressure, wind,
and precip records going back about 8 years for many stations.

Bob ^,,^

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