Re: Global Warming May Raise Hurricane Intensity

From: Dave M. (gadget007_at_rochester.rr.com)
Date: 10/01/04 

Date: Fri, 01 Oct 2004 21:20:19 GMT

...and the subject wouldn't have even come up if Florida wasn't taking a
pounding (prove it's not a coincidence) this year. If you've read "Chaos",
you would find it hard to believe the batting of a butterflies wings in
China could cause catastrophic weather elsewhere in the world. There is just
too much static friction in the atmosphere.

This is not to say CO2 in relatively large quantities couldn't initiate
trouble.

Mathematicians, are such twits!

Dave M.

"Roger Coppock" <rcoppock@adnc.com> wrote in message
news:25516292.0410011303.7c8cec41@posting.google.com...
> Global Warming Is Expected to Raise Hurricane Intensity
> By ANDREW C. REVKIN
>
> Published: September 30, 2004
>
> Global warming is likely to produce a significant increase in the
> intensity and rainfall of hurricanes in coming decades, according to
> the most comprehensive computer analysis done so far.
>
> By the 2080's, seas warmed by rising atmospheric concentrations of
> heat-trapping greenhouse gases could cause a typical hurricane to
> intensify about an extra half step on the five-step scale of
> destructive power, says the study, done on supercomputers at the
> Commerce Department's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory in
> Princeton, N.J. And rainfall up to 60 miles from the core would be
> nearly 20 percent more intense.
>
> Other computer modeling efforts have also predicted that hurricanes
> will grow stronger and wetter as a result of global warming. But this
> study is particularly significant, independent experts said, because
> it used half a dozen computer simulations of global climate, devised
> by separate groups at institutions around the world. The long-term
> trends it identifies are independent of the normal lulls and surges in
> hurricane activity that have been on display in recent decades.
>
> The study was published online on Tuesday by The Journal of Climate
> and can be found at:
> www.gfdl.noaa.gov/reference/bibliography/2004/tk0401.pdf.

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