Re: The beginning of the end, or storm in a teacup?
From: Eric Swanson (swanson_at_notspam.net)
Date: 10/04/04
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Date: Mon, 4 Oct 2004 12:24:00 +0000 (UTC)
In article <46d68b2.0410032311.72e6516b@posting.google.com>, Gods_Fist@sbcglobal.net says...
>
>http://groups.google.com/groups?num=100&hl=en&lr=&ie=UTF-8&safe=off&edition=us&q=alt.religion.unification&btnG=Search
>
>The beginning of the end, or storm in a teacup?
>October 2, 2004
>
>
>Faster ocean currents - not global warming - could be behind the
>storms, floods and fires, writes Melissa Fyfe.
>
>A record-breaking spate of hurricanes hitting Florida, a string of
>deadly typhoons in Japan, Arctic ice melting, Antarctic glaciers
>moving, heatwaves, floods - the world has, it seems, gone mad.
>
>When nature unleashes her temper, we want to know why. But the answer,
>as always, is not clear-cut. The planet moves in mysterious ways.
>
>Blaming global warming for polar ice melting is one thing, but the
>world's climate scientists will not connect it to the recent
>hurricanes that whipped the Caribbean with unprecedented frequency.
>
>There are simply too many forces at play and not enough long-term
>data, they say.
>
>But a key factor, scientists believe, was the build-up of warm water
>in the Atlantic in the past year, about five degrees higher than
>recent averages.
>
>US meteorologists have said the ocean conveyor belt that ferries warm
>water around the globe is probably to blame for the spate of
>hurricanes.
>
>Scientists have discovered that every two or three decades this
>massive ocean current picks up speed, warming water in the tropics.
>This in turn changes atmospheric conditions around Africa, where many
>major storms begin.
This is funny. The THC REMOVES warm water from the Atlantic, carrying
the warm water toward the Arctic. The excess warmth in the mid-Atlantic
may well be the result of a reduction in the THC, not an increase.
>Climatologist Stephen Schneider, of Stanford University, said five
>factors controlled the magnitude and frequency of tropical cyclones.
>They included the thickness of the atmosphere, how strong winds were
>at the top of a storm and the temperature of the upper 200 metres of
>the ocean.
>
>"We have no idea how global warming is going to affect four out of
>five of these factors, but we are sure it is going to increase ocean
>temperatures," he said.
>
>"The warmer the water, the more the energy."
I certainly argue with that comment.
But, did Schneider put the blame for the warmth on a stronger THC??
Note, from my location, I noticed a rather steady zonal flow for
several months in late spring and early summer. Thus, there was less
flow toward the polar region than I recall.
-- Eric Swanson --- E-mail address: e_swanson(at)skybest.com :-) --------------------------------------------------------------
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