Re: What happened to the forecast stall?



In article <dh8sin$4hr$1@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>, ScottLWI@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
says...
>
> I didn't really pay attention this week to Rita -- lots
> of things going on closer to home -- but I do recall
> dire predictions of a stall over AR and persistent
> rain and flooding.
>
> How come that didn't happen?
>
> scott
>

For one thing, the hurricane models disagreed wildly on what would
happen. Not all of them had a stall. If you look at the 00Z and 12Z
runs from the 23rd,

http://www.wunderground.com/education/steveg_blog/earlyr14.jpg
http://www.wunderground.com/education/steveg_blog/earlyr15.jpg

you get solutions at 120 hours ranging from Mexico, west of Del Rio, to
just south of Nova Scotia.

Harold
--
Harold Brooks
hebrooks87 hotmail.com
.



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