Verification of the Farmer's Almanac

Once again I have put together a simple verification of last year's
forecast from the 2005 Old Farmer's Almanac. The very poor results
were very similar to previous years. See:

http://ggweather.com/farmers/2005/index.htm

ABSTRACT
The latest Old Farmer's Almanac is out with its usual boast of being
80% correct. But are they really that good? From what I have seen in
past years their accuracy is much, much worse than advertised! How
about this year?

This study found that the national regional forecast for Winter had
both the temperature and precipitation correct only about 13% of the
time and Summer forecast was correct just 6% of the time.

The California forecasts for temperature were right only 13% of the
time and the precipitation was correct 27% of the time.


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Jan Null
Certified Consulting Meteorologist
Golden Gate Weather Services
Phone: (510) 657-2246
Email: jnull@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
Webpage: http://ggweather.com
"Climate is what you expect,
Weather is what you get". ~ R. Heinlein
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Relevant Pages

  • Bad News for Dems: Farmers Almanac Predicts Plenty of Snow in East
    ... LEWISTON, Maine - Keep your boots, long johns and snow shovels handy this winter if you live in the East, the Farmers' Almanac's forecast suggests. ... "Mother Nature is going to be sort of two-faced," almanac editor Peter Geiger said. ... The outlook is tamer for the Great Plains, the Rocky Mountains, the desert Southwest and the Pacific Coast, but Geiger said snow in Colorado will be more than adequate for skiing. ...
    (alt.politics)
  • Re: OT Halloween
    ... Julie, you have local meterologists who forecast six weeks into the ... I read it in the Farmer's Almanac. ...
    (alt.support.diabetes)