Re: Unseasonably warm in northern Minnesota/Ontario



"Weatherlawyer" <Weatherlawyer@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message ...
> It would appear that when my rule of thumb (weatherlore) forecasts for
> the UK say fine weather and we get stormy weather mixed in with it...
>
> And at the same time parts of the USA get unusually high temperatures
> (I've no idea how sultry) usually sustained over a few weeks...
>
> Then tornadic activity is most likely.
>
> So how unusual are your temperatures in Southern California?
> I have noticed that with the hurricane activity over the last few
> months
> that the temperatures there were extrememly high.
>
> Might it be possible to predict tornadic activity in the eastern states
> using similar ideas?

Perhaps, don't know. I would suppose so. Here tornadoes are relatively rare,
though we do get small to moderate ones on occasion. Water spouts are
usually the most common around here. Their frequency has increased (IMHO)
however.

The weather actually hasn't been unusual right now. Pretty much normal.
Usually, if we don't get our first rain by around the middle of October, it
will usually be dry for awhile.

Last year, it was most unusual. Around the middle of October, they were
predicting the usual Santa Ana wind conditions that usually bring warm
weather and winds to the area for indian summer conditions. But instead, for
some reason, the winds brought cold winds and rain from Utah instead.
Someone new to the area who had just moved here from Palm Springs, had asked
if we'd ever had snow. Which I thought was odd, but indeed, a short time
later, our town (At that time lived in the Hemet/Temecula area of Riverside
County), the eastern part of the valley got a dusting of snow. (I live
closer to coastal Orange County now, but still behind the Santa Ana range so
I have similar weather as before, which is interesting weather-wise).

Though common in the mountains and High Desert, it is relatively rare for
the valleys and coastal areas to see any snow at all. We usually get a
dusting about once every ten years, though it usually gets cold enough for
it for low temperatures in winter. When it has snowed, it's been anywhere
from October to March. But usually the frozen stuff is confined to the
mountains and high desert areas as I said.

Now, this year, things are pretty normal. We're getting Santa Anas now, but
they've brought on the usual warm weather and winds and this is fire season.
The rains we have had, really haven't panned out so much, though they've
gotten close.

The one oddity though is that this year, like last, I've noticed the leaves
changing into fall (autumn) colors much earlier than normal. In this area,
this mostly happens in December and even into January, but last year, they
started in September, and I even saw a few turn in August this year in some
places. While that is normal for a place like Connecticut, it tells me that
we might still see a colder winter than normal at some point this year,
though it isn't looking that way at the moment.

As for why I was surprised at the 57°F temperature reading in Fort Frances,
Canada, is that in the desert and inland areas of Southern California, it
isn't unusual at all to see a wide spread in the temperature range. Right
now, without the Santa Anas, it isn't uncommon to have lows in the 50s F. In
winter, it's normal to have lows dip around freezing or below (29°F - 45°F)
and then warm to 65°F to even 80°F or 90°F during the day. So when I saw an
evening temperature that warm for Canada, and a known snow part of the
country, it just surprised me, because I imagine the evening temperature
around here was probably a few degrees lower, though as someone else posted,
obviously that has changed.

So, that leaves me used to cold and warm temperatures at the same time. When
we do get a cold front, and it remains cold without a storm, I always think
it's odd that the sun doesn't bring warmth with it <grin>.

Now the coastal areas and valleys of Southern California are somewhat more
moderate climate-wise, but that is beginning to change.

Larry


.



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