Re: New Methodology on Analysis of Language Change
- From: "Peter T. Daniels" <grammatim@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Fri, 13 Jan 2006 14:07:31 GMT
Joseph W. Murphy wrote:
>
> On Thu, 12 Jan 2006 23:03:59 GMT, Peter T. Daniels wrote:
>
> > Thanks again [for the data excerpts]. (You're spending an awful lot of
> > time on something worth nothing.)
> >
> > Yep, the methodology is identical to Ringe et al.'s (yet I didn't notice
> > anything by that team in their references).
> >
> > And their features are AFAICT entirely typological. You could do the
> > chart for 5000 languages and come up with a classification that had
> > nothing whatsoever to do with reality.
> >
> > In fact, they don't even claim to have tested it by using it either for
> > well-understood families, say IE, or for a random selection of
> > languages!
> >
> > Once again: Why does *Science* not use peer review for linguistics
> > articles?
>
> I posted it to get feedback and clarification from you and others here on
> the methodology employed. Ringe seems to have done the same thing with
> Indo-European -- only he used lexicology and not typology. I guess I'm
> doing it also to try to work through the way they did it in my own mind.
> Except that I'm still baffled because I don't understand anything about
> cladistics.
At least in the Ringe article published by Mair (1998), they used 20-odd
morphological and structural (i.e. non-lexical) features.
> Apparently, Dunn et al. did "test" their methods against that Austronesian
> languages in the same area Ross Clark mentioned (whose relatedness and
> classifications are supposedly well-known) and the results supposedly
> correlated.
I didn't notice that mentioned in what you posted.
> In the "Supporting Materials" posted as a companion to the article, things
> seem to have been done in the following way:
>
> 1. A questionnaire was compiled using the 125 typological factoids and
> each language was checked for the presence or non-presence of each factoid
> by linguists "with fieldwork expertise in the languages" or "from published
> and unpublished sources".
>
> 2. "Trees were then generated for each set of data using maximum parsimony
> methods, using the heuristic algorithm with taxa randomly reordered 100
> times over 10,000 bootstrapped datasets. The concensus tree from this
You retyped this, didn't you? Or did *Science* really spell <concensus>
and (5 lines lower) <realtively>? You're allowed typos, but *Science* is
supposed to proofread.
This is essentially the methodology -- at least, it uses the same
phrases -- that Jacques Guy demolished when they published the earlier
paper by Gray. So it's not just GIGO wrt data, but wrt method as well!
> bootstrap data provides us with an approximation of the relationships found
> in the dataset, and a measure of the robustness of particular hypothesized
> relationships. The level of homoplasy (convergent features independently
> innovated in different branches of the family tree) in the data is
> realtively high compared to biological genetic systems, caused by the
> relatively high (and probably variable) rate of change in languages, and
> because there is a level of functional interdependence in grammatical
> systems. Furthermore, the structural features used in the analysis are
> necessarily defined coarsely: more narrowly definded categories would
> provide higher apparent levels of support for clusterings of taxa, but this
> would be determined by the more-or-less arbitrary selection of the
> categories coded. Because of the relatively high level of homoplasy found
> in linguistic structural data, consensus trees are preferred to optimal
> trees as the basis for our phylogenetic hypotheses. To reduce the effect
> of homoplasy we used an a posteriori weighting of traits showing
> phylogenetic reliability; weights were derived from the rescaled
> consistency index value of each trait determined on the initial run"
>
> The above paragraph baffles me completely. I have no idea what is being
> said. Somehow, trees were derived. That's all I understand.
>
> The fact that Julian Scaff (our famous postmodernist) might have been
> involved in computer work at Nijmegen makes me nervous. The above-quoted
> second paragraph sounds like computer-generated postmodernistic drivel to
> me. Gobbledegook. I am totally lost.
--
Peter T. Daniels grammatim@xxxxxxx
.
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