Profitiablity of SPAM / UCE / bulk email ... correctness of calculations help needed!

From: http://HireMe.geek.nz/ (mikehack_at_u.washington.edu)
Date: 10/18/04 

Date: Sun, 17 Oct 2004 21:33:43 -0700

Profitiablity of SPAM / UCE / bulk email ... correctness of calculations
help needed!

These calculations originate from my spread***:
http://HireMe.geek.nz/spam-properties.xls (no macros used!)

= raw spread*** outcomes, rnd() used for best range of possibilities ==

Connection Connection messages messages messages messages
bits / sec bytes / sec per second per minute per hour per day
346,000 43,250 12.51 750 45,000 270,000 raw msg prop
255,000 31,875 9.22 553 33,180 199,080 raw msg prop
120,000 15,000 4.34 260 15,600 93,600 raw msg prop
114,000 14,250 4.12 247 14,820 88,920 raw msg prop
64,000 8,000 2.31 138 8,280 49,680 raw msg prop
50,000 6,250 1.81 108 6,480 38,880 raw msg prop
33,600 4,200 1.22 72 4,320 25,920 raw msg prop

successful money made money made money made Transmission CC approval money
made
messages per day per day per week per year kbits/sec rate per hour per hour
1232 15,285.37 106,997.59 2,032,954.16 338 205.3 2,547.56
909 11,277.92 78,945.46 1,499,963.74 249 151.5 1,879.65
427 5,297.77 37,084.39 704,603.43 117 71.2 882.96
406 5,037.22 35,260.57 669,950.80 111 67.7 839.54
226 2,803.97 19,627.80 372,928.28 63 37.7 467.33
177 2,196.03 15,372.22 292,072.15 49 29.5 366.01
118 1,464.02 10,248.15 194,714.77 33 19.7 244.00
 UK Pounds UK Pounds UK Pounds

Cost per AUD AUD AUD Transmission Msgs Sent Bytes MB {year}
house assumed at Income House(s) Speed bits/sec 60 mul corr (raw) div: 1k/1g
$234,123 $5,033,395 34 5/8 346,000 35,910,000 15,552,000,000 15,188
 $3,713,763 25 5/8 255,000 26,477,640 11,467,008,000 11,198
UKP $1,744,529 12 120,000 12,448,800 5,391,360,000 5,265
| $1,658,733 11 3/8 114,000 11,826,360 5,121,792,000 5,002
\/ $923,334 6 3/8 64,000 6,607,440 2,861,568,000 2,795
AUD $723,142 5 50,000 5,171,040 2,239,488,000 2,187
2.48 $482,095 3 3/8 33,600 3,447,360 1,492,992,000 1,458

Message size 3456 bytes Messages One sucessful avg. given Offer sales
best ~ 1k, worst 4k html success message per per msg 5.00 50% (% x offer) =
2.50 coeff 1
   0.46% 219 12.41 10.00 20% (% x offer) = 2.00 coeff 2
Transmisson HRS 6 per day (of all sent msgs) F9 (recalc)! UKP 20.00 15% (%
x offer) = 3.00 coeff 3
Working 'year' 133 days 0.05% <- worst Offer-STDV 50.00 9.5% (% x offer) =
4.75 coeff 4
Working months 4 1/2 imputed 0.91% <- best 35.16 100.00 5.5% (% x offer) =
5.50 coeff 5
       1.00 <-sum % = 1 12.4070 <-avg^~2
Return on Investment Calculations ROI (kilobits/hr) Income ROI (raw) ROI %
checksum! weighted
Minmum Wage Rate $4.56 Per Hour 346,000 $2,032,954 337.18
New PC $1,000 255,000 $1,499,964 248.78
Email DB $250 CD ROMs 120,000 $704,603 116.86
Email Programs $150 month use 114,000 $669,951 111.12
Bank Fees $200 setup + mail 64,000 $372,928 61.85
Web Link $789 ISP-DSL 50,000 $292,072 48.44
Min Wage Salary $3,636 33,600 $194,715 32.30
TOTAL $6,029 USD

MIME-html html-only
Message size text: 2851 1.212 MIME encoding penality
Message words: 396 7.2 chars / word
Message phrases: 36 11 words / phrase

Exotic Random
Number Generator
219 v 1.0 best
953 v 1.1b proto
472 v 1.2b proto