Re: Epistemology 201: The Science of Science

From: Neil W Rickert (rickert+nn_at_cs.niu.edu)
Date: 02/10/05


Date: Thu, 10 Feb 2005 21:40:27 +0000 (UTC)

Tony Orlow (aeo6) <aeo6@cornell.edu> writes:
>Neil W Rickert said:
>> Tony Orlow (aeo6) <aeo6@cornell.edu> writes:

>> >Perhaps I misunderstood, but when you said "each guess is a random
>> >event" that implied to me that the probability assigned was random,
>> >rather than based on some criteria.

>> That was a correct implication.

>> Your mistake is to assume that random implies equal probabilities for
>> everthing.

>I think it was your mistake to think that the probabilities assigned to
>assertions are random, rather than based on some criteria.

Oops! I responded to what I assumed you had written, instead of to what
you actually wrote. Sorry for being careless.

Assigning a probability at random doesn't even make sense.



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