Re: a simple(?) probability question...



On Jan 25, 12:26 pm, matt271829-n...@xxxxxxxxxxx wrote:

[snip]

Indeed, it is impossible to construct a
plausible model that assigns a probability of one (certainty) to a
"hundred-year storm" occurring either exactly once or at least once
every hundred years.

Sorry, that was confusingly worded. I mean:

1. It is impossible to construct a plausible model that assigns a
probability of one to a "hundred-year storm" occurring exactly once
every hundred years.

AND

2. It is impossible to construct a plausible model that assigns a
probability of one to a "hundred-year storm" occurring at least once
every hundred years.

.

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