Re: Monty Hall problem

On 2008-04-16, bill <b92057@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
The "insufficient information" that is lacking is, "What is the
maximum amount that can be in an envelope?".

That doesn't even come close to being sufficient.


Just for the sake of discussion, assume that there is no maximum.
[...]
P(E2 > 2E1) = 0.50

Completely unjustified, hence the rest of your analysis falls apart.
There are plenty of distributions which have no maximum to the amount
that can be in an envelope but which do not satisfy this arbitrary
proposition.


- Tim
.