Re: Question for the Mathematicians
- From: "Big LN" <Big.LN@xxxxxxx>
- Date: 29 Dec 2008 07:58:43 +0100
"Big LN" <Big.LN@xxxxxxx> wrote:
"Greg Neill" <gneillRE@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
Big LN wrote:misses
Seasons Greetings all,4/10 and
I'm looking for a formula in regards to the following:
Suppose there is a four horse race with the odds of 2/10, 3/10,
5/10
and payments are awarded to the first three across the line. Whatamount
should
I bet on each horse to get the same profit no matter which horsecomes 4th
and misses out on the payment?and $92
Eg. If I bet $116 on the 2/10, $108 on the 3/10, $100 on the 4/10
on
the 5/10 then I'll make an overall profit of $2.40 if the 2/10
out,the
$1.20 if the 3/10 misses, $1.60 if the 4/10 misses or $3.60 if
5/10four
misses.
which
However, I want to make the *same* overall profit regardless of
horse
misses out.this
Therefore, what amount do I need to bet on each horse to achieve
outcome
and what is the formula used to work out such a result?
Thanks in advance.
'Onya
Given bets b1, b2, b3, b4 on horses with odds h1, h2, h3, h4, write
the expression for the profit for each of the four cases in terms
of those variables (you've obviously got such expressions as you've
provided sample results).
Set each of them equal to a constant profit value, P. Solve the
equations for unknowns b1,...b4.
Actually, I haven't got any expressions. I'm just trialling and erroring
figures
to get the best result. I've managed to get closer to the result by
putting
27.92% of my bank on the 2/10, 25.79% on the 3/10, 23.93% on the 4/10
and 22.35%
on the 5/10. Like I said, trial and error.
However, I'm looking for the exact answer and a formula on how to
do it for
these (and any other) four odds?
Having not done any maths for over 20 years, I need the help of you
guys.
'Onya
Also, I want to use my whole Bank in the bets. eg. If my Bank was $100 and
my bets were (from lowest odds to highest) $27.92, $25.79, $23.93 and $22.36
then my profit would be either 53,57,55 or 57 cents. Therefore I'm trying to
work out the amounts to bet (totalling my whole Bank) so the profit is *exactly*
the same no matter which horse misses out. More importantly, the what is the
mathematical formula so I can apply it to other sets of odds. Thanks.
'Onya
.
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