Re: New here questions on lyme and other

On Feb 21, 10:19 am, cowabungaba...@xxxxxxxxx wrote:


So the problem is, as I've been saying, the test is no better than a
coin flip. It LACKS a relationship to objective reality. Or at least
its relationship to being able to determine objective reality is no
better than flipping a coin. My whole point. Since the test IS
analogous to a coin flip, it adds little or no value to diagnsosis. At
least the ELISA does.


NO!!!

Read the above "model" example AGAIN.

Do you see that the odds of drawing three reds in a row are
substantially different than 50-50?

THAT is what the "problem" is.

.

Relevant Pages

  • Re: New here questions on lyme and other
    ... I think this would be the correct model for the problem: ... You have a hat...with three red marbles and three white marbles. ... WORSE than a coin flip odds. ... It LACKS a relationship to objective reality. ...
    (sci.med.diseases.lyme)
  • Re: New here questions on lyme and other
    ... The tests are independent of the symptoms and clinical picture. ... What you are saying is that adding a clinical picture to a coin flip ... number of trials it may come up heads heads heads and the next three ...
    (sci.med.diseases.lyme)