Re: New here questions on lyme and other

the 3rd Man wrote:
Of course not, I'm with you on this. As a matter of fact I thought you
were actually diminishing the value of the argument because the flip
of a coin was random and that somehow then probability wouldn't apply
as well to predict the consecutive results based on the error of the
test. The odds of a flipping a coin could be changed be fixing the
coin so that probability would be almost anything you want (sure the
extreme being heads/head, tails/tails,100%), and is a perfect analogy
because the point is not about "randomness" really (even though of
course is related to) but is about the probability of the event to
happens consecutively or alternatively simultaneously (like I
mentioned before).

RIGHT! By George...I think you've got it!

Good point. Indeed, in case of doing several ELISA tests on blood from the same person, the analogy of flipping coins does not hold. There is a higher probability of getting more or less same results.




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