Re: New here questions on lyme and other

On Feb 21, 2:26 pm, Sewer Rat <ratfromthese...@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
the 3rd Man wrote:
Of course not, I'm with you on this. As a matter of fact I thought you
were actually diminishing the value of the argument because the flip
of a coin was random and that somehow then probability wouldn't apply
as well to predict the consecutive results based on the error of the
test. The odds of a flipping a coin could be changed be fixing the
coin so that probability would be almost anything you want (sure the
extreme being heads/head, tails/tails,100%), and is a perfect analogy
because the point is not about "randomness" really (even though of
course is related to) but is about the probability of the event to
happens consecutively or alternatively simultaneously (like I
mentioned before).

RIGHT! By George...I think you've got it!

Good point. Indeed, in case of doing several ELISA tests on blood from
the same person, the analogy of flipping coins does not hold. There is a
higher probability of getting more or less same results.

huh??
.

Relevant Pages

  • Re: Why the cards must have a memory
    ... Probability theory assumes uncertainty, ... This is why I used the "tiny universe" scenario, ... ***it assumes that the probability is heads half the time FROM NOW ... incident in this case being a coin toss). ...
    (rec.gambling.poker)
  • Re: Coin tossing guessing strategy...
    ... You need a precise string in exactly one order, ... with respect to sequences of n flips, is to note that if some sequence ... In fact, assuming a fair coin, all 10 coin sequences are equally ... probability distribution for the _difference_ between the number of ...
    (sci.math)
  • Re: New here questions on lyme and other
    ... of a coin was random and that somehow then probability wouldn't apply ... The odds of a flipping a coin could be changed be fixing the ... in case of doing several ELISA tests on blood from ... the analogy of flipping coins does not hold. ...
    (sci.med.diseases.lyme)
  • Re: Krigman article about sevens due
    ... You are tossing a fair coin. ... What are the chances of getting exactly what probability ... tails and half heads for this to be true. ...
    (rec.gambling.craps)
  • Re: Why the cards must have a memory
    ... The probability of a hypothetically fair coin landing heads is approximately ... This hypothetical coin is not the coin in your pocket. ... That isn't the real universe. ...
    (rec.gambling.poker)
Loading