Re: New here questions on lyme and other

On Feb 21, 6:07�pm, Sewer Rat <ratfromthese...@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
Needsomeinput wrote:
On Feb 21, 2:26 pm, Sewer Rat <ratfromthese...@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
the 3rd Man wrote:
Of course not, I'm with you on this. As a matter of fact I thought you
were actually diminishing the value of the argument because the flip
of a coin was random and that somehow then probability wouldn't apply
as well to predict the consecutive results based on the error of the
test. The odds of a flipping a coin could be changed be fixing the
coin so that probability would be almost anything you want (sure the
extreme being heads/head, tails/tails,100%), and is a perfect analogy
because the point is not about "randomness" really (even though of
course is related to) but is about the probability of the event to
happens consecutively or alternatively simultaneously (like I
mentioned before).
RIGHT! By George...I think you've got it!
Good point. Indeed, in case of doing several ELISA tests on blood from
the same person, the analogy of flipping coins does not hold. There is a
� higher probability of getting more or less same results.

huh??

With several ELISA tests on blood from the same person, there is a
bigger chance than with flipping coins of getting the same results every
time, so simply put every time negative or positive.

With flipping coins it is random every time. Previous results do not
have prediction value for subsequent flipping results.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

If the test is no better than flipping a coin it doesn't matter
whether the blood is from the same person or not. NO the coin flip
analogy works it is based on the test not the test subject
.

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