Re: Save the world from nano-hype.

From: Amos Jeffries (webmaster_at_nanotech.dyndns.org)
Date: 06/01/04 

Date: 1 Jun 2004 16:24:19 GMT

"Samuel" <chan@dodgeit.com> wrote in message
news:c8t6ja01oha@enews2.newsguy.com...
>
> "Robert V Hill" <t.blackmore@comcast.net> wrote in message
> news:<c8on3302ib@enews2.newsguy.com>...
> > 70 years from lab to home is wrong. The Chip was in the home in less
then 20
> > years from the first lab test. Even the laser was less then 30 years.
The
> > first laser was made when, 1950? Most large stores had bar scanners
around
> > 1980, and holograms were being sold by then too. It also took 10 or 20
years
> > to think of a use for the laser. Everyone thought computer would always
take
> > up a room, and never be in the home. People are already trying to think
up
> > uses for "universal assemblers" and nanobots, and they have not even
been
> > made yet. Once somone build a working "universal assemblers", it will be
in
> > homes 5 years later or less. Some people think we might have a
"universal
> > assemblers" working in a lab in 10 years. I used to think this was
possible,
> > as the biggest problem is computer power. Right now it look like we are
> > coming to a slow down in the growth of computer power and no one know
how
> > long this slow down will last. So now it look like it could be 20 years
or
> > more, but even so it could be less then 10 years, as none know what the
> > future will bring.
> >
> >
>
> Actually I'm talking about the first transistors back in 1920's. By
> the time integrated chips were devised, the workings of a digital
> computer had already been worked out. What you are talking about
> really is not from the "labratory". All the research had taken place
> many decades before. Since there is considerable research to be done
> before any type of "assembler" is constructed, I still stand by my
> claims of another 70 years (give or take a decade) before it goes
> mainstream.
>

As someone who has made in their prsonal project to follow the advances in
nanotechnology since it was a relative unknown on the world stage. I would
agree with your 70 years, and point out that on the same level of basics to
nanotech started back in the 1950s and 60s.

Amos