Re: DO we really need a new manned launcher?

From: rk (stellare_at_NOSPAMPLEASE.erols.com)
Date: 08/06/04 

Date: 06 Aug 2004 16:53:49 GMT

bob haller wrote:

>>>>No shortage of problems but since it didn't kill anyone (recently) it's
>>>>"time tested." It's that type of superficial analysis based on
>>>>symptoms
>
> Ahh crew deaths were early on.

Foam logic. No one died "recently" -- although there haven't been that many
flights -- so it's safe. Your committment to safety is clear.

> shuttles tend to have problems many years
> after design first flew. appears russia understands and learned from
> earlier mistakes.

This ignores the fact that Soyuzii continues to have problems.

Commercial aircraft tend to have problems many years after they first flew,
despite many generations of design.

Automobiles continue to have problems after they first rolled, despite many
generations of design.

Copy machines are still problematic.

> even with a major malfunction the crew tends to survive, for instance
> that out of control landing, crew roughed up but survived....

"Tends to survive" -- more foam logic.

Using YOUR method of analysis, you could make a stronger case that foam hits
on Orbiters are simple maintenance issues than the Soyuz are safe since their
crews tend to survive (recently).

> HAVE A GREAT DAY! 

-- 
rk, Just an OldEngineer
"Engineers abhor extrapolation"
-- Ken Iliff, from _Runway to Orbit_, 2004

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