Re: Buran Website Finds So Far
- From: "Jorge R. Frank" <jrfrank@xxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Thu, 09 Jun 2005 08:17:37 -0500
Dale <drc@xxxxxx> wrote in
news:6afga1dppa1obklqf5dkattf7ajih7sl80@xxxxxxx:
> On Thu, 09 Jun 2005 08:31:17 GMT, fairwater@xxxxxxxxx (Derek Lyons)
> wrote:
>
>>ricardoalfaro@xxxxxxxxx wrote:
>>
>>>The facts are there,
>>>interesting - a country with more economic resources, still no
>>>flights - and a country using an outdated space flight method, the
>>>only way to get people into space - what's wrong in THAT picture?
>>
>>What's wrong? That drug addled fools believe that the 'outdated'
>>method to be superior - just because it hasn't killed anyone
>>'recently'.
>
> 34 years without a fatal accident while operating in an environment
> that few would consider to be a "safety culture" can't just be luck,
> can it?
Right. It's not just luck; it's extremely low flight rate. Years aren't
relevant. 34 years *sounds* impressive, but Soyuz has had only 82 flights
without a fatality in those years. The shuttle had 87 between Challenger
and Columbia.
The overall numbers on fatal accidents (2 in 92 for Soyuz, 2 in 113 for
shuttle) and fatalities (4 in 219 for Soyuz, 14 in 672 for shuttle)
represent a statistical tie. Within the margin of error imposed by the
small sample size, both vehicles are about 98% likely to get you home
safely.
--
JRF
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check "Organization" (I am not assimilated) and
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