Re: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps

From: michael (copsR_at_yourdoor.com)
Date: 06/11/04


Date: Fri, 11 Jun 2004 13:35:00 +1000

Yeah, reading futurists a decade or so down the track
is usually pretty good for a laugh (how come I'm not
wearing a silver jumpsuit, getting my meals from pills
and holidaying on Mars?) but Savage's stuff is particularly
funny for the contrast between the scope of his vision
(1000 years) and how quickly it passed its use-by date
(less than 10). Even Hitler's modernist vision of a
'thousand year reich' lasted longer than that.

I'd like to see some of the people who predict utopian
technological futures a generation or so from now (never
mind a millenia) begin by explaining how we are going
to avoid the crunches in resources, social capital and
ecology that are set to trash this civilisation by the middle
of the century. Then maybe I'll be willing to take a peek
through their rose coloured telescopes with anything
other than cynical mirth.

Savage's OTECs sound pretty damned dubious to me.
Haven't bothered to do the math but my gut instinct tells
me that the energy gained wouldn't exceed the cost of
pumping the water up from the depths in the first place.
In any case, in the absence of socioeconomic analysis
its just another utopian fantasy solution to our energy
problems in the tradition of nuclear power, fusion,
solar energy, geothermal, wind turbines, tidal generators
etc, etc, etc. None have been shown to be economically
viable on a scale that might really deal with our civilisations
addiction to cheap, portable, unsustainable energy and -
more importantly - none of the futurists seem to feel the
need to explain how decisionmaking powers are going
to be wrest away from those with such a strong vested
interest in our continued addiction until its too late anyway
(e.g. the oilman cabal currently in control of the US empire).

michael



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