Re: Runaway Global Warming Possible!
From: Ian Stirling (root_at_mauve.demon.co.uk)
Date: 01/27/05
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Date: 27 Jan 2005 00:10:40 GMT
In sci.physics "o?in" <o?in@ragnarok.com> wrote:
>>> http://www.newscientist.com/article.ns?id=dn6934
>
> "Some iterations of the models showed the climate cooling after an injection
> of CO2, but these were discarded after close examination because the
> temperature fall resulted from an unrealistic physical mechanism, says
> Stainforth. In these scenarios, cold water welling up in the tropics could
> not be carried away by ocean currents because these were missing from the
> models.
>
> There are no obvious problems with the high temperature models, he says. The
> climateprediction.net team were left with a range of 1.9?C to 11.5?C. "The
> uncertainty at the upper end has exploded," says team-member Myles Allen."
>
> Discarded only the cooling models? Sounds like fudging to me...
If you know good reasons why the model is broken in some scenarios, it makes
sense to discard them.
(It makes more sense to fix the model)
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