Re: An oasis on the moon?
From: John Griffin (thathillbilly_at_yahooie.com)
Date: 02/27/05
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Date: 27 Feb 2005 15:05:35 GMT
simberg.interglobal@org.trash (Rand Simberg) wrote:
> On 26 Feb 2005 17:36:30 GMT, in a place far, far away, John
> Griffin <thathillbilly@yahooie.com> made the phosphor on my
> monitor glow in such a way as to indicate that:
>
>>>>> With SMART-1 in lunar orbit and other robots soon to
>>>>> follow,
>>>>> the stage is set for the permanent return of humans to the
>>>>> moon in the next decade.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>In the next decade? Dude's smokin' crack.
>>>
>>> That's the current plan. The next decade is defined as the
>>> period between 2010 and 2020.
>>
>>The next ten years is the next decade. The next ten of
>>anything is a next decade. (Speaking of definitions...)
>
> That's an alternate definition, but not the only one (it's
> admittedly ambiguous, but it's clear that they mean it they
> way I defined it in this case, since the plan calls for a
> return to the moon by 2020).
>
> When people speak of "within this decade", or the "next
> decade," they generally mean it the way I wrote.
You'll have to show me your questionnaire, the sampling plan you
used and the methods you used to come to that conclusion before I
can believe it or reject it. Don't take this personally. I would
always ask that of anyone who tries to guess what humans are
going to do. There's way too much chance that he'll just declare
that most people will do the same thing he would do.
Regardless of that, I'd be surprised if people generally think of
the nine or eleven years you mentioned as the next decade, even
if they don't think of the next ten years as the next decade.
If someone tells you there's a .99 probability of a major
earthquake in the next decade on the fault directly under your
house, you aren't going to sit there unconcerned until the start
of an arbitrary ten year period in the future. I think this
article is going to show up on your news server within the next
year, and I don't mean 2006.
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