Re: It's In-Line (Shuttle Derived)



Ed Kyle wrote:
> What I don't believe is that Falcon V, if it ever
> flies, is going to cost $3 million per LEO tonne
> after its initial flights. The price will have to
> go up, or SpaceX will cease to exist once Elon Musk's
> pockets empty.

Perhaps. But perhaps not. SpaceX believes in their cost figures
enough to offer to sign fixed-price contracts for Falcon V flights;
this is much more than can be said about ATK or NASA and
shuttle-derived launchers.

> Not to mention that a new maneuvering
> cargo-hauling stage will be needed for the SpaceX
> rockets, a need that could easily double or triple
> the "real" Falcon V per-tonne payload costs.

If one is transporting propellant or other cargo to a spacecraft with a
robust maneuvering capability already in orbit, and the earth-to-LEO
cost is $3M/ton, one gets quickly driven to passive cargo carriers that
the larger spacecraft rendezvous with and docks / berths / grapples.

This is not going to double or triple payload costs.

-jake

.



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