A little over a year ago K2 asked this group a series of questions
about the future of space tourism (Rutan's Spaceship One had just
made its first flight higher than 100 km). Some of the questions
were about longer term predictions but the first question was about
how many people would spend $100k for suborbital flight in "the
first year". It isn't absolutely clear to me what "the first year"
meant, was it July 26th 2004 (date of his post) to July 26th 2005
or was it October 4th 2004 (date the Xprize winning flight) to
October 4th 2005. A year later it is now easier to guess that
whatever was meant by the first year won't change the outcome of
who had the most accurate guesstimate.
So the winner is: Hum! I'm not sure, but I think it is Dave O'Neill.
His reply was less than 40. But is that fair, one could of said
less than 10 billion and be sure to have a right answer. The next
best answer was mine which was 5. I consider that to be virtually
identical to "Perplexed in Peoria" who gave the answer 6.
I hope I didn't miss any answers that might be better.
my oshkosh airshow itinerary - and you thought it was just airplanes ... here is a list of seminars that I hope I will be able to attend. ...Spaceship One and Global Flyer ...Typical Flight Prep for SpaceShip One ... Picking A Homebuilt Design - How Do They Fly, ... (rec.models.rockets)
Re: On the Nature of Exploration ... They demonstrated sustained powered flight,... regimes at all, Therefore, by the logic you apply to SpaceShip One, it ... that it's possible to do it at lower cost.... we had a war.... (sci.space.policy)
Spaceship 1 on The Science Channel ... The Science Channel will be running two programs on Rutan's SpaceShip 1 ..."Black Sky: The Race for Space ...first flight into space; the second "Black Sky: ... is about the two successful flights that won the Ansari Prize.... (sci.space.history)
Spaceship 1 on The Science Channel ... The Science Channel will be running two programs on Rutan's SpaceShip 1 ..."Black Sky: The Race for Space ...first flight into space; the second "Black Sky: ... is about the two successful flights that won the Ansari Prize.... (sci.space.policy)
