Re: Plutonium on Next Atlas V - Bad Idea?
- From: "stork" <tbandrow@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: 16 Aug 2005 08:22:20 -0700
I should add too that my feelings are not absolute and are based of
course on the risk. Given a 1/300 chance of a plutonium release, and a
1/50 chance of rocket failure, I assume that the odds of a total
failure with a plutonium release are roughly 1 in 15,000. If we pull a
number out of a hat and say, what are the odds the plutonium would fall
into a populated area, we would probably wind up with a total disaster
odds of 1-150,000 or even 1-1,500,000, if not more.
Decisions such as this are made all of the time. Immunization is first
and foremost. I think there is a 1 in a million chance of dying from a
vaccine, so every year several hundred people probably die in the USA
given that we give flu vaccines to everyone.
.
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