Re: Plutonium on Next Atlas V - Bad Idea?

stork wrote:
> I should add too that my feelings are not absolute and are based of
> course on the risk. Given a 1/300 chance of a plutonium release, and a
> 1/50 chance of rocket failure, I assume that the odds of a total
> failure with a plutonium release are roughly 1 in 15,000.

The 1 in 300 odds are the total odds of plutonium
release. They include the chance of launch vehicle
failure *and* the chance that an RTG case will be
compromised during a failure. Now, 1 in 300
are the odds for the entire launch phase, so this
includes failures that would disperse plutonium
into the unoccupied mid-Atlantic, etc.

- Ed Kyle

.

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