Could Falcon 9 compete with the Stick?



SpaceX appears to have leap-frogged the Falcon 5 and gone to the 9 which is an EELV class RLV. I know Falcon 1 has yet to fly, but Falcon 9 has a customer and the prices do seem cheap compared to any likely SDLV. With base model doing 9 tons to LEO for $27M, and heavy sending ~25 tons to LEO for $78M (these are pretty comprehensive prices, including range, insurance, integration), doesn't this look attractive? That is, if it all works.

--
Chris M. Hall
Dept. of Geological Sciences
University of Michigan
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Relevant Pages

  • Re: Someone to defend the Stick?
    ... So the stick isn't needed for LEO operations. ... The CEV could be somewhat heaver than 20 tons it seems. ... that is NASA upping the size, so that it is heaver than current EELV ... As the Falcon IX could have a reasonable flight data before the CEV is ...
    (sci.space.policy)
  • Re: Could Falcon 9 compete with the Stick?
    ... I know Falcon 1 has yet to fly, ... > LEO for $78M (these are pretty comprehensive prices, including range, ... business with a fresh concept and undercut the ...
    (sci.space.policy)
  • Re: More info on Constellation/CEV
    ... The fact is that 20 tons is not just convenient for Lockheed ... NASA finds itself with a requirement that can be met by Delta ... Falcon rated at twice Falcon V). ... and an unfueled Apollo CSM was around 12 metric tons. ...
    (sci.space.policy)
  • Re: Could Falcon 9 compete with the Stick?
    ... I know Falcon 1 has yet to fly, but Falcon 9 has a customer and the prices do seem cheap compared to any likely SDLV. ... With base model doing 9 tons to LEO for $27M, and heavy sending ~25 tons to LEO for $78M, doesn't this look attractive? ...
    (sci.space.policy)
  • Re: More info on Constellation/CEV
    ... > The fact is that 20 tons is not just convenient for Lockheed ... > Falcon rated at twice Falcon V). ... I do expect that Space X will move quickly to build such a rocket ... > rockets is truly man-rated at this point, and the first manned launch ...
    (sci.space.policy)