Re: Could Falcon 9 compete with the Stick?

Chris Hall wrote:
> SpaceX appears to have leap-frogged the Falcon 5 and gone to the 9 which
> is an EELV class RLV. I know Falcon 1 has yet to fly, but Falcon 9 has a
> customer and the prices do seem cheap compared to any likely SDLV. With
> base model doing 9 tons to LEO for $27M, and heavy sending ~25 tons to
> LEO for $78M (these are pretty comprehensive prices, including range,
> insurance, integration), doesn't this look attractive? That is, if it
> all works.

I don't believe the numbers. The going rate these
days for U.S. launchers is about $10-13K per kg to
LEO. Mr. Musk claims he has a business case for
$3K per kg. I could imagine that it might be
possible for a newbie to march into the space
business with a fresh concept and undercut the
old-line competition, but never by this much. It
just doesn't seem believable to me.

- Ed Kyle

.

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  • Re: Could Falcon 9 compete with the Stick?
    ... I know Falcon 1 has yet to fly, but Falcon 9 has a customer and the prices do seem cheap compared to any likely SDLV. ... With base model doing 9 tons to LEO for $27M, and heavy sending ~25 tons to LEO for $78M, doesn't this look attractive? ...
    (sci.space.policy)