Re: Could Falcon 9 compete with the Stick?




Rand Simberg wrote:
> On 8 Sep 2005 17:23:06 -0700, in a place far, far away, "Ed Kyle"
> <edkyle99@xxxxxxxxxxx> made the phosphor on my monitor glow in such a
> way as to indicate that:
>
> >I don't believe the numbers. The going rate these
> >days for U.S. launchers is about $10-13K per kg to
> >LEO. Mr. Musk claims he has a business case for
> >$3K per kg. I could imagine that it might be
> >possible for a newbie to march into the space
> >business with a fresh concept and undercut the
> >old-line competition, but never by this much. It
> >just doesn't seem believable to me.
>
> Why not?

1) If it were that easy, some one would have done it
already by now. This is the world's most ruthlessly
aggressive, winner-take-all free market system we
live in, after all.

2) The other U.S. launch companies have been losing
money even at the higher launch price range.

- Ed Kyle

.



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