Re: Could Falcon 9 compete with the Stick?

On 17 Sep 2005 17:26:56 -0700, in a place far, far away, "Ed Kyle"
<edkyle99@xxxxxxxxxxx> made the phosphor on my monitor glow in such a
way as to indicate that:

>
>Rand Simberg wrote:
>> On 8 Sep 2005 17:23:06 -0700, in a place far, far away, "Ed Kyle"
>> <edkyle99@xxxxxxxxxxx> made the phosphor on my monitor glow in such a
>> way as to indicate that:
>>
>> >I don't believe the numbers. The going rate these
>> >days for U.S. launchers is about $10-13K per kg to
>> >LEO. Mr. Musk claims he has a business case for
>> >$3K per kg. I could imagine that it might be
>> >possible for a newbie to march into the space
>> >business with a fresh concept and undercut the
>> >old-line competition, but never by this much. It
>> >just doesn't seem believable to me.
>>
>> Why not?
>
>1) If it were that easy, some one would have done it
>already by now.

Ahhh..another naif.

>This is the world's most ruthlessly
>aggressive, winner-take-all free market system we
>live in, after all.

Not in space.

>2) The other U.S. launch companies have been losing
>money even at the higher launch price range.

The "other U.S. launch companies" continue to operate under a failed
paradigm.
.