Re: Space Access Update #112 9/19/05

On Tue, 04 Oct 2005 22:39:10 GMT, simberg.interglobal@xxxxxxxxx (Rand
Simberg) wrote:

>On Tue, 04 Oct 2005 15:35:45 -0400, in a place far, far away, Josh
>Hill <usereplyto@xxxxxxxxx> made the phosphor on my monitor glow in
>such a way as to indicate that:
>
>>>>>Are you proposing that NASA have no backups, and that by choosing to
>>>>>launch *everything* on a single flight (throwing the dice for that
>>>>>mission), that they have no need for one, isn't insane from a risk
>>>>>standpoint?
>>>>
>>>>Why would it be? In the unlikely chance that the HLV fails, the
>>>>mission gets scrubbed and you mount a new one.
>>>
>>>A new one that requires *replacing everything that was launched on
>>>that single flight*, instead of what was lost on one of many flights.
>>>
>>>I'm glad that you don't handle my money.
>>
>>Er, the probability that any given component will be lost is the same
>>either way -- 2%.
>
>Is your entire 401K in a single stock?
>
>If not, why not?

Because it's not insured by the Federal Goverment. The lumpier risk
makes no difference in a budget of that size.

--
Josh

"It was amazing I won. I was running against peace and prosperity
and incumbency." - George W. Bush
.

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