Re: the "Spencer Launcher"
- From: "Will McLean" <mclean1382@xxxxxxx>
- Date: 6 Dec 2005 20:23:24 -0800
Henry Spencer wrote:
> In article <1132929835.298284.58100@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>,
> Will McLean <mclean1382@xxxxxxx> wrote:
> >> I thought about that, but I don't see it. The Stick requires an all-new
> >> second stage, developed essentially from scratch...
> >
> >Yet structurally, the Stick second stage is essentially a shortened
> >Delta IV with a different engine.
>
> Except that it's completely different -- different diameter, different
> length, different engine, different environment. Oh yes, and man-rating
> Delta IV would be oh-so-hard but the Stick second stage will be easy.
> Uh huh.
>
It doesn't need to be a different diameter. A number of Stick designs
have quoted the same diameter as the Delta IV core for the upper stage.
> >> >...significantly more changes than the NASA SDHLV baseline. ATK
> >> >was estimating that as a ten year job, given adequate funding.
> >> ATK is hardly a disinterested source, since they've been lobbying really
> >> hard for the Stick for quite a while now.
> >
> >Sure. Also their heavy lift versions, also using their engines. You
> >would expect their bias, when decribing any SDHLV, to be to
> >underestimate development time, not the reverse.
>
> Almost everyone involved -- except Congress -- benefits from longer
> development, not shorter.
>
And the taxpayers. But nobody benefits from *admitting* that
development will be longer for their design.
> >"A develop only one launcher" strategy would be to their advantage, if
> >the one launcher was some sort of SDHLV. They'd sell four motors rather
> >than three per lunar mission.
>
> But they'd only get paid for one lot of development. Producing 1/3 more
> motors is not that much more lucrative.
> --
Is it plausible that ATK expects that they will be paid to develop the
complete vehicle? Have they ever gotten that sort of contract?
Will McLean
.
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