Re: Nasa/faa
- From: ianparker2@xxxxxxxxx
- Date: 11 Mar 2006 08:22:57 -0800
Robots cannot do for man in space -- cannot replace man in space...cannot
go in man's place or before man, not even once. Because the next one will
cost more. Each succeeding one will cost more than the last. You won't be
able to make them individually small enough, the numbers of them plurally
large enough. The cost benefit ratio will increasingly imbalance toward ever
increasing cost and ever diminishing returns the longer Man sits here on
Earth. That is deterioration. There is no such thing as Utopia or
"betterment" coming from "all mankind," all of it without exception, staying
imprisoned in a trap (one not of the many's choice, even though they be
unaware of the what, how and why they are trapped -- just [instinctively]
sensing they are trapped (thus mindlessly instinctively radicalizing their
thoughts and behaviors).
A clear immediate goal is self replication. If we can achieve that
grandiose plans - Space colonization, energy systems even terraforming
planets is on the table. If we can't then O'Neill colonies etc. will
remain pie in the sky. It is as simple as that.
Can it be done given existing knowledge? I would say without question
it can. The critical step is assemble of an assembly from parts given a
random distribution. Car manufacture is done on a production line and
is based on absolute positions at each stage. Clearly we need pattern
recognition that will bring a displaced part into position. The
requirement in terms of AI is the ability to take a CAD drawing,
recognise components and place them in the correct position and
orientation for assembly. This is what a human worker does.
You need robots to be self repairing. That is satified by having a
swarm or more than one robot. The robot is specified in CAD. A random
distribution of parts.
NASA is indeed 20th century. I would in fact trust IKEA more than NASA.
A flatpack assembler is a vital enabler. I could say the critical step.
Having done that VN is downhill, what you then need to do is specify a
circular pathway with CAD/CAM - Basic input - The Moon/Asteroids.
When and in what way should humans fly in space? If you are going
someplace you need to fly in space - fairly obviously. Until you are on
the point of colonization - no I don't believe in manned spaceflight.
.
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- From: Henry Spencer
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