Re: Waiting for controversy...?




Rand Simberg wrote:
On Thu, 28 Sep 2006 07:05:31 -0500, in a place far, far away, "Paul F.
Dietz" <dietz@xxxxxxx> made the phosphor on my monitor glow in such a
way as to indicate that:

Monte Davis wrote:

Look: typical global demand for payload to LEO and beyond -- including
milkitary -- has been in the hundreds of tons per year for decades.

IF there were good reason to believe annual demand would grow swiftly
to tens of KILOtons and beyond, I would stipulate that your robust,
reliable TSTO -- or any of half a dozen other approaches to CATS --
could succeed and make money.

Demand growth has shown a strongly nonzero slope in the recent past.

http://www.astro.ucla.edu/~wright/Launch_rate.gif

That's a little too simplistic a statistic. I wonder what tonnage to
orbit looks like?

How about cost per launch by weight?

.



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