Re: Satellite defense


"Ed Kyle" <edkyle99@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
news:1169659853.039812.114050@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
On Jan 23, 1:10 pm, "frédéric haessig" <fhaes...@xxxxxxx> wrote:
snip

Yes. So much would be at stake that I don't think we would
see ASAT attacks unless a big war was already on, or was
just about to begin. China's main wargaming scenario has
to be Taiwan, where it would need to blind the U.S. for just a
few days. Once they have swarmed onto that island, and
have it surrounded by a gazillion submarines and protected
by a missile screen, the war is over.Wasn't that basically Japan's
strategy for WWII?

Surely an exemple to copy

The difference between then and now is that surface fleets
are much more vulnerable today to attack from missiles
and submarines. If China took Taiwan and the U.S. tried
to force a counter-attacking fleet across the Pacific
(half-way across the globe with no cover), it would never
make it. An attack sub hundreds of km distant could
erase a carrier group in a matter of minutes.


And what about that amphibious landing China
would have to pull off? With our navy and fighters
standing comfortably at a distance, firing one
harpoon after another?

AGM-84 Harpoon

http://www.fas.org/man/dod-101/sys/smart/agm-84.htm



China
has been building submarines like crazy for several
years. Its underwater fleet is expected to surpass the
U.S. fleet in a decade or so.

Japan didn't fully leverage the power of its submarines
during WWII. The U.S. did. A relatively small number
of U.S. submarines (compared to surface ship numbers)
sank more than half of Japan's merchant fleet during the
war. China, it could be assumed, will not repeat Japan's
mistake.



It'd be China that has to protect a supply line
and invasion force. Taiwan and the US would
be defending a fortress island.

Remember what our troops thought about
invading Japan?



- Ed Kyle

.

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